Out in the Nick of Time
As part of the Brexit negotiations, Brussels asked the UK to contribute extra amounts to the EU's emergency coronavirus fund. The answer was no.
Brussels will however redirect contributions paid in by the UK to the emergency coronavirus fund holding about €3bn in total. A European Commission official said the UK remains "fully liable to contribute to — and fully eligible to benefit from — the Emergency Support Instrument." Only one problem, Britain doesn’t qualify to receive any money. The UK contribution so far is said to be just over €200 million.
How Much Brexit will Cost the EU
The German MP Dr Alice Weidel - March 2019 - gave this speech to the German parliament explaining how expensive it will be should Brexit happen. You don't get to see it from the other side very often and this is worth a watch.
Cash-cow Britain who has been milked by the EU for so many years will not be paying toward the COVID-19 Recovery Fund of €750bn.
€750 billion EU COVID Recovery Fund agreed
After 90 hours of negotiations, the frugal 4 became the frugal 5 and the whole palaver to give those countries who've mismanaged their economies for years free money was complete. Member states who didn’t fall in line with the EUs (Merkel/Macron) plan, were shamed into it by suggesting they were ‘cheapskate’.
France and Germany have successfully pushed their plan through to create a €750bn COVID-19 recovery fund available to those countries hardest hit by the disease. Discussions were really only about the split between free money and loans. The initial 500/250 split finished off as 390/360 split after 90 grueling, table thumping, nerve tearing emotional hours of negotiations over 4 days.
Although the money is raised through the ECB, it’s underwritten by the individual member states which is a first for the EU. The conditions to get your hands on the free cash are very vague and more to do with producing less CO2 than upholding democracy or using the money to boost the economy.
Funds will be available from January 2021 to 2023.
The EC Commissioners of Austria, Sweden, Finland, Denmark and the Netherlands (the cheapskate 5) cheered the result of their hard work through gritted teeth on day 5. Back home though, they will be facing the music for their actions as disillusionment in the EU grows.
Who Doesn't Want Free Money?
With such a large pot of free cash, I don’t think the €360bn available in loans will see many takers.
Hungry and Poland seem very happy with the outcome although agreement was tied to the bloc’s contributions over the next seven years which will amount to €1,100,000,000,000 from all member states.
Don't Blame Boris for so Many Deaths
January 2020, the WHO told Governments around the world that it was a nasty type of flu. We heard Trump and others say exactly that at the beginning. This misinformation from the one body set up to save the world during times of a pandemic obviously failed in their duty. This also led UK scientists taking a “herd immunity” approach. A policy which was fortunately quickly changed to “lock-down”.
1.000 Bereaved Families Blame Boris
A public inquiry is being sort after accusing Johnson’s government of 'gambling' with lives due to a late lockdown.
Ms Jo Goodman, co-founder of the Covid-19 Bereaved Families for Justice Group, have brought together about 1.000 families who have lost loved ones to COVID-19. They claim that the Government “gambled” with lives by not initiating lockdown soon enough. They’re demanding a public inquiry to look into the Governments response to the COVID-19 crisis.
Jo Goodman’s father a fleet street journalist (The Guardian, Daily Mail and Evening Standard) died after contracting the virus before lockdown. Jo is also a proud member of #jewsforjeremy brigade, a group of Jewish Labour Party members. Although Jo’s loss of her father is very tragic there just might be another agenda here.
28 February - Everybody Knew What COVID-19 Was
On the 28 February 2020 the BBC makes it clear what COVID-19 is, and the WHO issues “highest alert” over coronavirus. Nobody can claim they didn’t know what COVID-19 was and the risks. I can remember telephoning my Mother on Mother’s day 14 March talking about COVID-19 being the reason people shouldn’t visit their Mother. Many ignored the warnings creating the outbreaks in the care homes.
BBC News Report 28 February 2020
Boris Johnson orders a complete lockdown 30 March 2020. This is a full seven days later than Germany as the most contagious viral infection pandemic takes hold. The blame game begins with the opposition leader explaining how he would have done it all better. If only Boris Johnson had locked down earlier more than 20.000 lives would have been saved. The statistics tell a different story.
23. March - German cases on day of lockdown 4.062
30. March - UK cases on the day of lockdown 2.665
The UK had less cases than Germany at the time of lockdown.
What went wrong?
Germany began lockdown earlier but had twice as many cases to show than the UK on the day of lock-down. Germans being Germans showed discipline and generally obeyed the rules of lockdown. Many of the British public on the other hand ignore the warnings and lockdown advice, creating several spikes after lockdown. Both countries peek at around 6000 new cases per day but Germany shows a quicker decline.
Reports that 20.000 Lives Could Have Been Saved are False
Reports from the Guardian newspaper and the BBC stating that 20.000 lives could have been saved if only Boris had implemented lockdown a week earlier simply don't hold water, as most cases occur after lockdown had started.
The number of cases spike dramatically well into lockdown and can be directly attributed to events in the UK where people decided “Oh it’s only me, no one will notice” attitude.
The Attitude “Oh it’s Only Me” is partly to blame
New Zealand was clear of the virus for a full 23 days until two infected British tourists arriving from Australia decided “Oh it’s only me, I feel fine” no consequences if I ignore the 14 day quarantine. They decide to travel across the country visiting relatives because “Oh it’s only me”, putting New Zealand back into lockdown.
Although everybody understood they could be asymptomatic, showing no signs but carrying and spreading the disease, there is was this attitude of “Oh it’s only me and I feel fine”, I’ll just pop over and give my Mother a hug on Mother’s Day”. How many people have murdered their own relatives through these actions?
Oh it’s only me and a few friends going to a Rally in Leicester as 4.000 others join them causing the City to become the UK's first full “local” lock-down with more cities to follow you can bet.
According to the graph above, two weeks into lockdown new cases in the UK were topping 5.000+ every day. The reason for this is simple, for many people in the UK - THERE WAS NO LOCKDOWN. Many decided to ignore government rules and carried on as normal infecting others, some of whom went on to die. Weeks into lockdown and people still refused to take the virus seriously.
COVID-19 could be eradicated within 3 months
Instead of 3 months for the all-clear, we are now looking at 3 years before most of the world will be free of infection because people have simply refused to change their behavior. The mindset to do what is necessary to get rid of this virus is not there.
The technology to track and trace is readily available. Millions sign up to Facebook giving far more personal details than the app used for track and trace but the uproar about data protection with a track and trace app was louder than ever.
Masks have been proven to stop the spread, but we saw the WHO dither for weeks on whether to advise on wearing them.
Draconian measure would have seen more people demonstrating, creating even more infections.
Packed beaches, demonstrations, denial, and the attitude “oh it’s only me, I feel fine” have all contributed to the dire position the UK finds itself in.
Boris Johnson had little control over much of this, and blame should be solely placed on the shoulders of those who decided to flout the rules behaving improperly to the new situation. We will now have to endure this for 3 years because of them.
What’s this got to do with Brexit?
Let’s blame Boris. Remainers believe the more incapable Boris Johnson looks, the better the chances for an extension of the transition period. This in turn could sway the public to cancel Brexit all together. You only have to listen to the aggressive questions from “laura what’s her name” of the BBC to see they believe there is an opportunity here to stop Brexit. The publicity Jo Goodman has achieved due to her connections is also dubious.
British-EU trade talks are continuing despite the coronavirus outbreak using video conferencing. The chief EU negotiator Michel Barnier having recovered from contracting COVID-19 has continued to place doubt on reaching a deal by the end of this year whereas the UK chief negotiator David Frost seems more upbeat.
A bias press are portraying the British government as ruthless in its pursuit to break free from the EU running roughshod over poorer EU member states creating more economic woes in the process.
The economies of Greece, Italy, Spain and Portugal having never fully recovered from the Euro crisis of 2008 are now confronted with COVID-19 lock-down and certain recession. Italy has already indicated that they don’t want ‘loans’ from the EU but ‘grants’ that don’t have to be paid back. In other words they want free money, a move that would risk hyperinflation. The UK got out of the EU just in time avoiding being part of the biggest bailout ever seen. France and Germany will now be footing most of the bill between them.
As most EU countries are tied to a single currency, should one experience hyperinflation then all will experience it. For a country like Germany with the highest proportion of people who ‘save money’ this would be a devastating result for future pensions.
The COVID-19 crisis clearly strengthens the UKs hand when talking about tariffs, the UK being the second largest economy in Europe. Because the EU sells far more goods to the UK than the other way around, Barnier certainly doesn’t want to crash out of negations risking a no deal. The UK media state that sales of UK goods to the EU will suffer. The EU sells far more goods to the UK and would pay heavily should tariffs be introduced and that at a time when a recession is just about to hit.
There will be more fake news from the Remain camp in an attempt to force the UK to extend the transition period. Such an extension would only benefit the EU as the poorer members rely on selling to the UK. The EU commission would also be very happy to see the UK tied to EU rules and paying contributions to the tune of a billion Euros per month as would happen with an extension. A billion Euros per month is not to be sniffed at when a third of your Empire is on the verge of economic collapse.
Let’s take car sales as an example. WTO rules would place a 10% tariff on the import of cars coming into the UK and vice versa. What will happen? There would be an increase of cars made in the UK sold domestically helping the UK economy while Germany would lose its largest export customer within Europe. The lost sales to Europe due to tariffs will then go to supplying the UK domestic market, a win for the UK.
An extension will only create more uncertainty
David Frost @DavidGHFrost tweeted on 16 April 2020; “As we prepare for the next Rounds of negotiations, I want to reiterate the Government's position on the transition period created following our withdrawal from the EU. Transition ends on 31 December this year. We will not ask to extend it. If the EU asks we will say no.”
The decision for a no-deal trade agreement (resulting in WTO rules) doesn’t just lie with Frost. The EU have a say in how negotiations develop. If talks fail, then it is equally the fault of Barnier and an EU that are not prepared to offer a deal that they have clearly offered many other countries. The EU commission may also be less willing to punish the UK so as not to risk its own economy unnecessarily.
Despite the current situation the government is adamant about sticking to the Brexit plan.
When two economies are hurting very badly then the chances of an amicable agreement will increase.